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Isonto Elizayo - ITurkey ibheke okhethweni, ukuthengiswa kwezitolo zase-US kubhekwe ngamehlo abomvu, iChina icabanga ukuncishiswa kwezinga - MarketPulse

Usuku:

US

I-Wall Street izohlala igxile kumdlalo weshashalazi wophahla lwezikweletu, ubuningi be-Fed speak, imali etholwa yizitolo, kanye nengcindezi yasebhange. Kuzoba isonto elimatasa eligcwele ukukhishwa kwezomnotho, okugxilwe kakhulu kunhlolovo yokukhiqiza i-Empire, umbiko wokuthengiswa kwezitolo okulindeleke ukuthi ubonise ukukhuphuka kwemali esetshenziswayo, izimangalo zamasonto onke zokuphelelwa umsebenzi, nokuthengiswa kwezindlu okukhona. 

Izingxoxo zokuthi izikweletu zibambezelekile kanti kulindeleke ukuthi ziqhubeke kuleli sonto. Izingozi ezizenzakalelayo ziyakhuphuka futhi lokho kungaba inhlekelele emnothweni. 

Uma kubhekwa ubuthakathaka obuvelayo ngaphakathi kwemakethe yezemisebenzi kanye nezimo zokwehla kwamandla emali, i-Fed ingase ithonywe ukuthi igcine amanani emali isikhathi eside kunalokho abaningi abebekucabanga. Leli sonto liqukethe ukubonakala kwe-Fed okuyisishiyagalolunye, okuvelele okuvela e-Bostic ngoMsombuluko, e-Goolsbee ngoLwesibili, kuyilapho uSihlalo we-Fed u-Powell ebamba iqhaza kuphaneli NowayenguSihlalo We-Fed Bernanke ngoLwesihlanu.   

I-Eurozone

Kuningi okukhishiwe kwezomnotho kuleli sonto elizayo kodwa anginaso isiqiniseko sokuthi kukhona okuwela esigabeni sokuqala, naphezu kokuba namandla okwenza kanjalo. I-HICP ngokusobala ingukukhululwa okukhulu kodwa ukubuyekezwa ngokuvamile kuncane kakhulu. Akunakwenzeka ukuthi kushintshe umdlalo kodwa ungasho neze. Idatha ye-Flash GDP nayo izothakazelisa, njengoba ukukhula kuye kwehle kakhulu onyakeni odlule. Kungenzeka yini ukwehla komnotho emakhadini? Lokho eceleni, konke kumayelana nokukhuluma kwe-ECB, ikakhulukazi uMongameli uLagarde ngoLwesibili nangoLwesihlanu.

UK 

IBhange LaseNgilandi lihlezi liqiniseka ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kuzobuyela kulokho okuhlosiwe ngesikhathi sokubikezela kodwa nokho ukuqagela kwabasebenzi abasha kugqamise ukuthi kuzoba yinselele kangakanani. Ukwehla kwamandla emali nokukhula kokubili kubuyekezwe phezulu kakhulu kulo nyaka kanti izibalo zemakethe yezemisebenzi ngoLwesibili zingasiza ukuchaza ukuthi kungani kunjalo. Ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi kulindeleke ukuthi kuhlale ku-3.8% kanti ukukhula kwamaholo amabhonasi akudala kube ku-6.8%. 

Futhi akuhambisani nokukhuphuka kwamandla emali okuwela ku-2% kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo, ngeke kuhlale lapho isikhathi eside. Ukwehla kwamandla emali kulindeleke ukuthi kuqale ukwehla kakhulu ngo-Ephreli kanti nenzalo izogcina ingcindezi. Sizozwa kubakhi benqubomgomo be-BoE abahlukahlukene ngesonto elizayo kuhlanganise noMbusi u-Bailey kodwa angilindele ukuzwa okuthile okuhlukile esithangamini sabezindaba ngemva kwesinqumo sezinga ngoLwesine.

Russia

Imininingwane ye-GDP izogxila ngesonto elizayo eduze nokuvela kuMbusi webhange eliphakathi u-Elvira Nabiullina, nabahwebi abafuna imikhondo yokuthi umnyakazo olandelayo wenqubomgomo ungenzeka nini nokuthi ngakuphi.

Iningizimu Afrika

Ikhalenda libukeka lincane futhi ngesonto elizayo, ngokuntuleka kwemisebenzi nokuthengiswa kwezitolo okuwukuphela kokukhishwa. Eyangaphambili ibingu-32.7% ku-Q4 2022 futhi kulindeleke ukuthi ibe phezulu ngo-33.2% ku-Q1, kanti ukuthengiswa kwezitolo kwehle ngo-0.5% ngoFebhuwari kodwa kulindeleke ukuthi kubuye kunyuke ngo-2.8% ngoMashi.

igalikuni

Ukhetho kule mpelasonto sekukhulunywe ngalo izinyanga eziningi futhi lungaba nemiphumela emikhulu ezimakethe zaseTurkey. Ukuhlolwa kwenqubomgomo yezimali yeminyaka embalwa edlule ngokungangabazeki kwenziwe ngeso elibukhali okhethweni lwangempelasonto, lapho uMongameli Erdogan enethemba lokuthi ukugembula okuphumelelayo kungasiza ukunweba ukubusa kwakhe kweminyaka eyishumi. 

Umjaho weHhovisi likaMongameli uzodinga umuntu oyedwa ozokhethwa - u-Erdogan noma u-Kilicdaroglu - ukuthi athole amavoti angaphezu kuka-50% noma uzoya ku-run-off ngomhla zingama-28 kuMeyi. Ukuvota ngeSonto kuvulwa ngo-8 ekuseni ngesikhathi sendawo kanti ukuvota kuvalwa ngo-5 ntambama. Ngesikhathi kuvulwa izimakethe ngesonto elizayo, singase sesazi ukuthi ubani ophumelele ukhetho lukaMongameli.

Switzerland

Idatha ye-PPI iwukuphela kwesenzakalo esiphawulekayo ngesonto elizayo kodwa abadayisi bazobe beqaphelisisa izimpawu zokucindezelwa kwamanani aphansi, ne-SNB ebonisa ukubekezelelana okungapheli kuze kube manje ngokukhuphuka kwamandla emali okuhlosiwe okungaphezulu.

China

Isibalo sakamuva sedatha yezomnotho edumazayo ehlanganisa kokubili isidingo sangaphandle nesangaphakathi sikhulise okulindeleke ukuba kuncishiswe izinga lenzalo yenqubomgomo ebhange elikhulu laseChina, i-PBoC, ukuze kubhekwane nobuvila obukhona manje. Idethi emisiwe yesinqumo esizayo mayelana nesilinganiso sonyaka owodwa sokubolekwa kwemali yesikhathi esimaphakathi (MLF) simiselwe uMsombuluko, 15 May.

Okulandelayo, uhlelo olumatasa olungaphambili nenye isethi yokukhishwa kwedatha ebalulekile; NgoLwesibili, mhla ziyi-16 kuNhlaba, sizoba nokukhiqizwa kwezimboni, ukuthengiswa kwezitolo, izinga lokuntuleka kwemisebenzi kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali kwempahla engaguquki unyaka kuze kube manje ngo-April. Kuzogxilwa ekuthengisweni kwezitolo njengoba abenzi benqubomgomo behlabe umkhosi ngokukhathazeka mayelana nokuthamba kwakamuva kwesidingo sasekhaya. Imvumelwano ingeyokuphinda kuthathwe ukuthengiswa kwezitolo kukhule ku-20.1% unyaka nonyaka kusuka ku-10.6% ngoMashi.

Idatha yezindlu izogxila kakhulu ngoLwesithathu, njengoba kubikezelwa ukuthuthuka okwengeziwe kokwehla kwe-House Price Index kuya ku--0.2% unyaka nonyaka ngo-April kusukela -0.8% ngo-March. Uma kuvela njengoba kubikezelwe, kuzoba ngu-3rd inyanga elandelanayo yokwenza ngcono imakethe yempahla yaseChina.

Ngaphambili kwezinzuzo, inqwaba yokukhishwa okuvela ku-Big Tech yase-China; I-Baidu ngoLwesibili, 16 May, Tencent Holdings ngoLwesithathu, 17 May, kanye ne-Alibaba Group ngoLwesine, 18 May.

India

Ibhalansi yokushoda kwezohwebo ngo-Ephreli kubikezelwa ukuthi izonwebeka kancane ifinyelele ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-21.5 zamaRandi isuka ku-US$19.7 wezigidigidi ngoNdasa phakathi kwesimo sokuntula kwezidingo zomhlaba wonke.

NgoLwesithathu, ukwehla kwamandla emali ezitolo ezinkulu kulindeleke ukuthi kwehle kuze kufike ekukhuleni okungekuhle okungu--0.2% unyaka nonyaka ngo-Ephreli kusuka ku-1.34% okushicilelwe ngoMashi. Uma kwenzeka njengoba bekulindelekile, izomaka u-11th inyanga elandelanayo yokufinyela.

Australia

Isonto elimatasa. Okokuqala sizoba nedatha yokuthenjwa komthengi wase-Westpac yangoMeyi ngoMsombuluko lapho ukuvumelana khona kulindeleke ukwehla kwe--1.7% inyanga nenyanga ngenxa yokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo elimangazayo kusuka ku-RBA.

NgoLwesibili, abahlanganyeli bemakethe bazothola ithuba lokubhekisisa amaminithi omhlangano wesinqumo sakamuva senqubomgomo yezimali ye-RBA ukuze bathole imikhondo eyengeziwe ngezizathu zokukhuphuka kwezinga lokumangala futhi balindele izinqubo zokucabanga ze-RBA nezenzo zesikhathi esizayo.

NgoLwesine, idatha yokuqashwa kwango-April izobe isiphumile futhi okulindelekile kuwukuhamba kancane ekuqasheni okunezengezo ezintsha ezingu-25K ezivela ku-53K ezingezwe ngoMashi. Khonamanjalo, izinga lokuntuleka kwemisebenzi kulindeleke ukuthi lihlale liqinile ku-3.5% ngo-Ephreli, lisondele eminyakeni engu-50 eliphansi.

E-New Zealand

Idatha ebalulekile okuzogxilwa kuyo kuzoba ibhalansi ka-April yokukhishwa kwezohwebo ngoLwesihlanu lapho isibikezelo silindele insalela ye-NZ$0.2 billion ngo-April kusuka esileleni se-NZ$1.273 billion eyaqoshwa ngoMashi. Uma kuvela njengoba kubikezelwe, kuzoba imali eningi enqwabelene yanyanga zonke kusukela ngoMeyi 2022.

Japan

Iviki elimatasa eligcwele idatha ebalulekile yokwehla kwamandla emali engase inikeze izinkomba zejubane lokujwayela kwenqubomgomo yemali ye-Bank of Japan elula okulindeleke ukuthi iqale engxenyeni yesibili ka-2023.

NgoMsombuluko, ukukhula kwamanani abakhiqizi kulindeleke ukuthi kwehle kufinyelele ku-6.5% unyaka nonyaka ngo-Ephreli kusuka ku-7.2% ngoMashi. Okulandelayo, i-GDP ye-Q1 izokhishwa ngoLwesithathu lapho ukuvumelana kulindele ukuthuthukiswa kwaminyaka yonke ekukhuleni ku-0.7% kusuka ku-0.1% erekhodiwe kwikota edlule.

Ibhalansi yokuhweba ngo-Ephreli izophuma ngoLwesine lapho imali enqwabelene ibikezelwa ukuthi izoncipha ibe yi-JPY 690 billion isuka ku-JPY 754.5 billion.

Izinga le-inflation labathengi elibaluleke kakhulu ngo-April lizokhishwa ngoLwesihlanu, ukwehla kwamandla emali okuyisisekelo kubikezelwa ukuthi kuzokhuphuka kuye ku-3.2% unyaka nonyaka kusuka ku-3.1% ngoMashi kanti izinga eliyisisekelo (ngaphandle kokudla okusha namandla) kubikezelwa ukuthi inyukele ku-3.9% unyaka nonyaka isuka ku-3.8% ngoMashi, isondele eminyakeni engama-30.

Singapore

Idatha ebalulekile okufanele ibukwe kuzoba ukukhishwa kuka-April okungewona uwoyela wasekhaya ngoLwesithathu. Ukuvumelana kulindeleke ukuthi kuqhubeke ukuwohloka ekukhuleni kuye ku--9.7% unyaka nonyaka kusuka ku-8.3% ngoNdasa. Uma kwenzeka njengoba bekulindelekile, kuzoba yi-7th Inyanga yokuncibilika ekuthengisweni kwezwe okungewona kawoyela phakathi kwesimo esibuthakathaka sangaphandle.


Ikhalenda Economic

NgoMgqibelo, ngoMeyi 13

Idatha Yezomnotho / Imicimbi

Imiphumela yokuvota kwasendaweni e-India

U-Fed's Cook wethula ikheli lokuqala e-Tuskegee University e-Alabama

I-EU Indo-Pacific Ministerial Forum eStockholm

NgeSonto, ngoMeyi 14

Imicimbi Yezomnotho

Ukhetho lukaMongameli waseTurkey: Ukuqokwa kabusha kukaMongameli Recep Tayyip Erdogan kuyangabazeka

I-Thailand ibamba ukhetho lukazwelonke

NgoMsombuluko, ngoMeyi 15

Idatha Yezomnotho / Imicimbi

I-US cross-border investment, i-New York Fed Empire Manufacturing

Ukuthengiswa kwekhaya okukhona eCanada, izindlu ziyaqala

I-GDP yaseColombia

Ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni kwe-Eurozone

Ukuhweba kwe-India, amanani ashibhile

Indonesia ukuhweba

I-Japan PPI

IPoland CPI

I-CPI yaseSaudi Arabia

I-GDP yaseThailand

I-BOC ikhipha inhlolovo yesistimu yezezimali, esekelwe “emibonweni yochwepheshe ezingozini nasekuqiniseni amandla” kohlelo lwezezimali lwezwe.

I-Fed's Bostic yethula amazwi okwamukela engqungqutheleni yaminyaka yonke yezimakethe zezimali yebhange lakhe

UChancellor waseJalimane u-Scholz ukhuluma ku-Global Solutions Forum e-Berlin

Ingqungquthela ye-Arab League iqhubeka kuze kube uLwesihlanu

Usomnotho oyisikhulu se-BOE uPill ukhuluma ngombiko wenqubomgomo yezimali yaleli bhange  

I-European Commission ikhipha izibikezelo zezomnotho zasentwasahlobo

NgoLwesibili, ngoMeyi 16

Idatha Yezomnotho / Imicimbi

Ukuthengiswa kwezitolo zase-US, ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni, uhlu lwebhizinisi 

ICanada CPI

Ukuthengiswa kwezitolo zaseChina, ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni

I-Eurozone GDP

Okulindelekile kwinhlolovo ye-ZEW yaseJalimane

I-GDP yaseHungary

I-Italy CPI

Izinqolobane zomhlaba waseMexico

Ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi eNingizimu Afrika

Izimangalo zase-UK ezingasebenzi, ukungasebenzi

I-RBA ikhipha amaminithi omhlangano wenqubomgomo kaMeyi

I-Fed's Mester ikhuluma ngombono wezomnotho nenqubomgomo emcimbini obubanjwe yi-Central Bank of Ireland eDublin.

I-Fed's Williams ixoxa ngezomnotho kanye nenqubomgomo yezimali emcimbini obubanjwe yi-University of the Virgin Islands

I-Fed's Bostic kanye ne-Goolsbee bakhuluma ngesimo somnotho ngesikhathi senkomfa yaminyaka yonke yezimakethe zezimali ye-Atlanta Fed.  

Umhlangano we-Economic and Financial Affairs Council (ECOFIN) e-Brussels

I-Council of Europe Summit e-Reykjavik

NgoLwesithathu, ngoMeyi 17

Idatha Yezomnotho / Imicimbi

Izindlu zase-US ziqala

Izintengo zempahla yaseChina

I-Eurozone CPI, ukubhaliswa kwemoto entsha

Ukungasebenzi kwe-France

Ukuhweba kwe-Italy

Ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni zaseJapan, i-GDP

I-Russia GDP

Ukuhweba kwaseSingapore

ENingizimu Afrika ukuthengisa okudayisa

I-de Guindos ye-ECB yethula inkulumo yokuvala umhlangano we-18 wemboni yamabhange we-IESE  

I-Riksbank's Floden ikhuluma emhlanganweni wocwaningo

Imali engenayo evela ku-Target Corp kanye ne-Cisco Systems Inc

UMbusi we-BOE u-Andrew Bailey wethula inkulumo eyisihluthulelo engqungqutheleni yaminyaka yonke yeBritish Chamber of Commerce

NgoLwesine, ngoMeyi 18

Idatha Yezomnotho / Imicimbi

Izimangalo zokuqala zase-US ezingenamsebenzi, Inkomba ehamba phambili yeBhodi Yenkomfa, ukuthengiswa kwekhaya okukhona 

Ukungasebenzi kwe-Australia

I-GDP yaseChile

Ukuhweba kwaseJapan

Isinqumo sesilinganiso se-Mexico: Kulindeleke ukuthi izinga lobusuku lihlale liqinile ku-11.25%

Philippines ibhalansi izinkokhelo, isilinganiso isinqumo

Spain ukuhweba

Ingqungquthela yezindaba ye-BOC yokubuyekezwa kwesistimu yezezimali, ikhokhiswe “njengokuhlaziya okuningiliziwe kwentuthuko ohlelweni lwezezimali.”

I-Northern Ireland ibamba ukhetho lwasekhaya

Iningi laseYurophu ligubha iholide loSuku lwe-Ascension

Ingqungquthela yeBitcoin 2023 eMiami

Isazi sezomnotho esiyinhloko se-BOE wethula amazwi okuvula ku-workshop ye-CCBS Macro-finance 2023

NgoLwesihlanu, ngoMeyi 19

Idatha Yezomnotho / Imicimbi

USihlalo we-Fed u-Powell kanye nosihlalo wangaphambili u-Ben Bernanke ukuba babe nengxenye engxoxweni yesigungu engqungqutheleni

Ukuthengiswa kwezitolo zaseCanada

Japan CPI, inkomba ephakeme

Malaysia ukuhweba

Ukuhweba kweNew Zealand

Abaholi be-G7 bahlangana eHiroshima

U-Schnabel we-ECB unikeza inkulumo eNgqungqutheleni Yokusimama Kwezezimali kanye Nenqubomgomo Yezezimali eLondon

UMongameli we-ECB uLagarde noHernandez babambe iqhaza engqungqutheleni yebhange eliphakathi laseBrazil mayelana nezinselelo zangemva kobhubhane.

I-Fed's Williams yethula inkulumo eyisihluthulelo engqungqutheleni yocwaningo lwenqubomgomo yezimali eWashington

I-BOE's Haskel yethula inkulumo eNgqungqutheleni Yezibalo Zezomnotho Esezingeni eliphezulu

Ukubuyekezwa Kwesilinganiso Sombusi

I-Ireland (S&P)

INingizimu Afrika (S&P) 

I-Italy (Moody's)

EPortugal (Moody's)

I-Denmark (DBRS)

Okuqukethwe okwezinjongo zolwazi olujwayelekile kuphela. Akusona iseluleko sokutshala izimali noma isixazululo sokuthenga noma ukuthengisa izibambiso. Imibono ngababhali; hhayi ngempela eye-OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. nanoma yiziphi izinhlaka zayo, izinkampani ezingaphansi kwayo, izikhulu noma abaqondisi. Uma ungathanda ukukhiqiza kabusha noma ukusabalalisa kabusha noma yikuphi okuqukethwe okutholakala ku-MarketPulse, i-forex ewina umklomelo, impahla kanye nokuhlaziywa kwezinkomba zomhlaba jikelele kanye nensizakalo yesayithi yezindaba ekhiqizwe yi-OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., sicela ufinyelele okuphakelayo kwe-RSS noma usithinte ku- [i-imeyili ivikelwe]. Vakashela https://www.marketpulse.com/ ukuze uthole okwengeziwe mayelana nokushaya kwezimakethe zomhlaba. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Craig Erlam

Uzinze e-London, u-Craig Erlam ujoyine i-OANDA ngo-2015 njengomhlaziyi wemakethe. Njengoba enolwazi lweminyaka eminingi njengomhlaziyi wemakethe yezezimali kanye nomhwebi, ugxila kukho kokubili ukuhlaziya okuyisisekelo nobuchwepheshe ngenkathi ekhiqiza ukuphawula kwe-macroeconomic. Imibono yakhe ishicilelwe ku-Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph kanye ne-International Business Times, futhi uvela njengomhlaziyi ovamile wezivakashi ku-BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business kanye ne-SKY News. U-Craig unobulungu obugcwele beNhlangano Yabahlaziyi Bezobuchwepheshe futhi waziwa njengochwepheshe Wezezimali Oqinisekisiwe yi-International Federation of Technical Analysts.

Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Okuthunyelwe kwakamuva kuka-Craig Erlam (bona konke)

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