I-Bitcoin (BTC) iqala isonto elingaphambi kukaKhisimusi nge-whimper njengoba uhla lokuhweba oluqinile lunikeza izinkunzi ze-BTC injabulo encane.

Ukuvalwa kwamasonto onke okungaphezudlwana kuka-$16,700 kusho ukuthi i-BTC/USD ihlala ingenawo ukuntengantenga okukhulu phakathi kokuntuleka kokuqondisa kwezimakethe.

Ngemva kokubona ukuziphatha kokuhweba okuguquguqukayo ekuphrintiwe kwedatha yakamuva ye-macroeconomic yase-United States, laba ababili sebebuyele esimweni esijwayelekile kakhulu. Yini engayishintsha?

Lowo ngumbuzo osezindebeni zawo wonke umhlaziyi njengoba izimakethe zingena kukhisimusi kuncane okunikezwayo.

The reality is tough for the average Bitcoin hodler — BTC is trading below where it was two years and even five years ago. “FUD” is hardly in short supply thanks to the fallout from FTX and concerns over Binance.

Ngesikhathi esifanayo, kukhona izimpawu ukuthi abavukuzi bayalulama, kuyilapho izinkomba ze-on-chain zikhombisa ukuthi isikhathi silungile phansi kwentengo enkulu yakudala.

Ingabe i-Bitcoin izodumaza ngokuqhubekayo onyakeni omusha, noma ingabe izinkunzi zizowuthola umhlangano weSanta eziwudinga kakhulu? I-Cointelegraph ibheka izici ezingemuva kwesenzo sentengo ye-BTC ezayo.

BTC spot price: ‘Capitulation’ or ‘slow grind?’

Ivala isonto ngaphansi nje kuka-$16,750, i-Bitcoin iphunyuke ngaphandle kokushintshashintshashintsha kabusha ngomhla ka-Dec. 18.

Even that which accompanied U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve commentary was short-lived, and BTC/USD has since returned to an arguably frustrating status quo.

Idatha evela Izimakethe ze-Cointelegraph Pro futhi UkuhwebaBuka proves the point — since the FTX scandal erupted in early November, Bitcoin has seen hardly any noticeable price movement at all.

For market commentators, the question thus is what it will take for things to take a different turn, up or down.

Amehlo Amazinga okuthola kabusha kwe-Fibonacci eshadini lamasonto onke, insiza yezibalo i-Stockmoney Lizards iveze ukuthi i-BTC/USD “yayisesekwa okuyinhloko.”

Uma indawo elinganiselwa ku-$16,800 iqala ukunyamalala, elandelayo cishe icishe ibe ngu-$12,500.

Elinye ishadi langempelasonto kuqhathaniswa lokho eyakubiza ngokuthi "ukugeza kokugcina" kweBitcoin ngesikhathi sezimakethe zamabhere ezedlule. Lokhu kugcizelele umbono wokuthi i-BTC/USD ingase isicishe yenziwe “ukukopisha” izakhiwo zangaphambilini ze-macro bottoming.

Abanye bakholelwa ukuthi okubi kakhulu kuseza kulo mjikelezo wamanje. Phakathi kwabo kukhona umhwebi odumile nomhlaziyi u-Crypto Tony, ophakathi kwalabo abaqondise okuphansi cishe cishe u-$10,000.

"Ngakho-ke ngo-2023 ngilindele ukuthi i-BTC iqale ukwenza iphethini yokwehla emingceleni ephansi yebanga esihlala kulo njengamanje, kanye nokusekelwa kwevolumu cishe ku-$ 11,000 - $ 9,000," esho esitatimendeni. Intambo ye-Twitter Kulempela sonto.

"Ukuthi sithatha izintambo noma sigaya kancane kuzobonakala."

Ubuye wengeza ngokuthi "isigaba sokuqongelela" esilandela ukuthunjwa kwabantu abaningi sizoqhubeka ngo-2023, njengoba i-Bitcoin ilungiselela umcimbi wayo olandelayo wokuhliswa kwengxenye yoxhaso lwebhulokhi.

Idatha entsha yase-US efunekayo njengoba ukuhlaziya kubikezela ukushona kwempahla engcupheni

Ngemva kweviki eledlule Umdlalo ngezilokotho zedatha ye-inflation kanye ne-Fed, kuphephile ukusho ukuthi isonto elizayo lizohlinzeka ngengcindezi encane ku-Bitcoiners.

That said, U.S. third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth is due, and predicted to flip positive after Q2 saw a 0.9% retraction.

This is significant, as with the Q2 print, the U.S. technically yawela ekuwohlokeni komnotho, naphezu kwemizamo engcono kakhulu yosopolitiki yokuphika ukuthi isithombe sezezimali sasibi njengoba idatha isho.

Njengoba umtshali wemakethe u-Ajay Bagga ephawula, nokho, ukuguqulwa kwe-GDP okuqine ngokweqile kunganikeza ilayisensi ye-Fed ukuqhubeka nokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo elinolaka ukuze kuncishiswe ukwehla kwamandla emali - into engamukelekile ezimpahleni eziyingozi kuyo yonke ibhodi, okuhlanganisa i-crypto.

“Isilinganiso semodeli yase-US Atlanta Fed US GDPNow yokukhula kwangempela kwe-GDP yase-US (izinga lonyaka elilungiswa ngezikhathi ezithile) engxenyeni yesine ka-2022 singu-3.2 % ngoDisemba 9, yehle isuka ku-3.4 % ngoDisemba 6,” usho kanje. wabhala kusibuyekezo ngesonto eledlule.

“Ukufundwa okuqine kakhulu kwe-GDP yase-US kusuka kusilinganisi esinembile kakhulu. I-Fed izohamba ngezinyawo futhi iqhubeke nokuqwala izintaba.”

Beyond GDP, the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE) is also due, a measure that the Fed keenly eyes when taking policy changes into account.

Phakathi ku ukuvuselelwa kwemakethe on Dec. 17, trading firm QCP Capital likewise drew attention to the PCE impact.

“Sibonga i-Fed, noma yini esiyihwebayo manje, sihweba nje amaphrinta e-inflation (kanye namaholo),” kufingqa.

I-QCP nokho ibe nezwi lesixwayiso ngezimakethe zempahla eyingozi, lokhu kuza ngendlela yokwehlisa umlenze kuwo wonke umuntu, kuhlanganisa ne-crypto, esikhathini esizayo esiseduze.

"Njengoba kade sibhala, le rally ye-Q4 imise igagasi lesi-4 eliphelele, elinegagasi lokugcina le-5 elingenayo elingenayo kuzo zonke izimakethe - S&P/Nasdaq, 2yr/10yr, USD kanye ne-BTC/ETH," kusho.

U-Crypto Tony wabelane ngalowo muzwa, ebikezela lokho akubiza ngokuthi "umfutho ophansi" kuwo wonke ama-indices amasheya ngaphambi kokubuyela emuva.

“I was looking for a push up to create a double top around 4320, but we failed to get there and dumped prior,” hisanalysis of S&P 500 performance read.

"Isithombe esifanayo lapha ngifuna omunye umfutho ophansi ukuze ngiqedele iphethini ye-WXY engiyibonayo."

Binance CEO calls ‘FUD’ as foul play claims continue

Lapho i-FTX yaqala khona, uBinance manje ulandela.

Lowo ngumbono ogqamile ovela ekushaneleni kwemithombo yezindaba ye-crypto ekuqaleni kwesonto, lapho uBinance eqinile e-radar njengoba elwa nalokho i-CEO u-Changpeng Zhao anakho. wabiza kaningi “FUD” (fear, uncertainty and doubt).

I-crypto exchange ngevolumu enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni ihlangabezane nokuhlehla kwabezindaba kanye nabasebenzisi ngokufanayo emasontweni asanda kwedlula njengoba imizamo yokuqinisekisa ukuthi imali egciniwe ihluleka ukukholisa.

NjengeComplelegraph kubika, among the latest events is Binance’s auditor deleting its complimentary findings about the exchange’s financial promises.

A report from Reuters that Binance publicly enqatshiwe has meanwhile given way to a slew of further misgivings, among them a iposi blog claiming suspicious activity between Binance and its U.S. counterpart, Binance.US.

“These findings neatly dovetail with the previous reports by Forbes and Reuters indicating that Binance.US was a clever trick designed to fool regulators and customers,” concludes the blog post, from an entity calling itself Dirty Bubble Media.

“Kodwa-ke, ngokuwa kwe-FTX wonke umuntu ubhekisisa imboni ye-crypto. Siyangabaza ukuthi u-Tai Chi olawulayo ka-Binance uzobavumela ukuba bagweme ingalo ende yomthetho isikhathi eside. "

Okwamanje u-Zhao usaqhubeka nokunganiki isikhathi kunoma yiluphi uhlobo lokumangalela, ngomhla ka-Dec. 17 iyaphinda his “FUD” perspective. He subsequently retweeted words from Ryan Selkis, founder of analytics platform Messari, in which he stated that there was a xenophobic element to Binance criticism.

"Ingxenye enhle ye-Binance FUD wukucwaswa kwabokufika," uSelkis wabhala ngaphezu kwama-tweets amabili.

“Ngifuna ukuhlolwa kwengcindezi kumadiphozithi futhi ngicabanga ukuthi kubi ukuthi iphesenti eliphezulu kangaka lamavolumu lidlulela ekushintshisaneni okukodwa. Angiyithandi futhi ithoni yezinye zokugxeka. Uxolo!”

Noma kunjalo, u-Binance uhlala engenye yezinto eziphezulu ezingabangela intengo ye-BTC, njenge-Cointelegraph kuphawulwe evikini eledlule.

Abavukuzi bakhuphule umncintiswano

Ngemva kokuncipha kwayo okukhulu cishe ezinyangeni ezingu-18, ubunzima benethiwekhi ye-Bitcoin kungenxa yokuthi baqale ukukhuphuka futhi kuleli sonto.

Ngokwezilinganiso ezivela BTC.com, ukulungiswa kabusha kobunzima okulandelayo kwamasonto amabili kuzobona ukwanda okungaba ngu-3.8%.

This has implications for miners, who have experienced considerable upheaval in the weeks since FTX’s collapse sent BTC/USD down by up to 25%.

Ngezinzuzo ezikhanyiwe, ukukhathazeka kwaqala ukubonakala ukuthi abavukuzi babezokwesinye isigameko esikhulu sokuhoxiswa kwabantu, nokuthi bazohoxa emisebenzini yabo ngobuningi.

Njengoba Cointelegraph muva nje kubika, nokho, akubona bonke abavumayo - ukuhumusha kwakamuva kwedatha kuye kwaholela esiphethweni sokuthi iningi lokujwayela selivele lenzekile.

Ngobunzima ngenxa yokukhuphuka futhi, le thiyori isalokhu iwumbono osebenzayo, njengoba ubunzima obukhuphukayo busho ukuncintisana okushubile phakathi kwabavukuzi, esikhundleni sokuhlehla.

Idatha evela enkampanini ye-on-chain analytics I-Glassnode ngaphezu kwalokho ikhombisa ukwehla kwezinsuku ezingama-30 kwempahla ye-BTC yabasebenzi basezimayini ephinda ilandelelwa njengokuphola kokuthengisa.

Ihlaziya ingxenye yabasebenzi basezimayini jikelele yokuhlinzekwa kwe-BTC, ngakolunye uhlangothi, intatheli u-Colin Wu wagomela ngokuthi isikhundla sabo sasingabaluleki ngempela.

“It is estimated that Bitcoin miners currently hold a maximum of 820,000 Bitcoins, a minimum of 120,000 Bitcoins, only 1% to 4% of the Bitcoin circulation, even if listed mining companies sell production in June this year 350%, the impact has also weakened,” Wu tweeted ngaphezu kwezimpelasonto.

Imizwa ibikezelwe ukuthi izokwehla ibe ngama-2022

Akuyona imfihlo ukuthi izinyawo ezibandayo ziyigama lomdlalo uma kuziwa emzweni we-crypto kule kota.

Related: I-Bitcoin isenayo lesi siginali ye-on-chain yemakethe yezinkunzi ze-BTC - uDavid Puell

Ngenxa ye-FTX kanye no-Binance manje, kunomuzwa ohlukile wokulahlwa okulenga ezinkundleni zokuxhumana, futhi isenzo samanani kuzo zonke izimpahla ze-crypto akumele zidwebe isithombe esihlukile.

Lokho kusho, I-Crypto Fear & Grey Index isebenza kangcono kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe, isahlezi ngaphezu kukabakaki "wokuhaha okwedlulele".

Ngo-29/100, kungashiwo nokuthi i-Index ayihambisani nesimo.

Ku-Crypto Tony, nokho, lokho kuzoba isikhathi esifushane, ne-Index ibuyela emazingeni aphansi alo nyaka we-6/100 ngo-2023.

“Lapho sinokwesaba okukhulu, kubonakala njengendawo enhle yokuthenga. Uma sisebuhwabeni obudlulele, iyindawo ethengiswayo. Ukusekela i-psychology yabantu,” kuchaza ingxenye yamazwana.

“Emuva ngoJuni sishaye u-6 ‼️ ngilindele ukuthi siphinde sikuvakashele ngonyaka ozayo.”

Ukwesaba Nokuhaha kuphume “kokwesaba okukhulu” ekupheleni kukaNovemba, futhi kusazobuya, kufinyelele izinga eliphezulu lokungu-31 ngoDis. 15 — ukusebenza kwakho okuhle kakhulu kusukela ngomhla ka-Nov. 8.

Imibono, imicabango kanye nemibono evezwe lapha iyodwa yababhali futhi ayivezi noma iveze imibono nemibono yeCointelegraph.

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• Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/wave-lower-for-all-markets-5-things-to-know-in-bitcoin-this-week