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比特币抛售呼声高涨:但现在真的是抛售的时候吗?

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The story has not been any much different for Bitcoin, with its price still stuck in a consolidation range in the past week. The sluggishness of the premier cryptocurrency – and the general market – has continued despite the completion of the halving event over a week ago.

减半事件, which saw mining rewards take a significant cut, was expected to usher in another round of bullishness for the Bitcoin price. On the contrary, investors appear to be getting frustrated with the slow activity of the market, with many calling for the dump of BTC.

比特币抛售率增加:区块链公司

根据一个 最近的报道 by on-chain analytics firm Santiment, investors are increasingly calling for the sale of Bitcoin across social media following its latest drop toward $63,000. The relevant metric here is the “social volume” indicator, which tracks the number of unique posts and messages on different social platforms that mention a specific topic.

Santiment 汇总了过去一周有关主要加密货币的“买入或看涨”、“卖出或看跌”或相关提及的数据。随后,链上分析突显了趋势的转变,看跌的呼声试图淹没社交媒体上的看涨噪音。

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Social volume for Bitcoin over the past week | Source: 情绪/X

According to Santiment, Bitcoin’s recent fall to $63,000 resulted in the lowest level of buy and bullish calls since April 21st (just before BTC recovered back above $67,000). As shown in the chart above, the 社会量 for terms related to “sell” shot up after the price decline.

Typically, the increased bearish mentions of Bitcoin suggest a rising level of FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) amongst investors. However, when traders seemingly become frustrated and impatient, there is usually a higher probability of a market rebound.

近 90% 的流通 BTC 都在盈利——对价格的影响

据最近 链上数据, about 90% of Bitcoin in supply is in profit. On the surface, this basically implies that the most current holders of the premier cryptocurrency bought at a lower price compared to the current price.

但是,这个 level of profitability can also be an overbought signal, especially after bullish periods like the one that occurred between October 2023 and March 2024. Ultimately, this suggests investors could see Bitcoin shed more of its price gains over the next coming weeks.

截至撰写本文时,比特币估值为 63,077 美元,过去 2 小时内价格下跌 24%。

比特币

Bitcoin price falls to $63,100 on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

特色图片来自 iStock,图表来自 TradingView

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