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Who Will Win Dota 2 TI11?

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Who will win Dota 2 TI11? Analysis on The International Favorites

TI11 is the premier Dota 2 championship of the year, and it will be taking place from October 15, 2022 to October 30, 2022. Fans who are looking to find out who will win Dota 2 TI11 have come to the right place. After all the good work in the Dota Pro Circuit, the best teams will compete here and hope to win the big prize. The Dota 2 TI prize pool is $13,252,528.

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Twelve teams qualify through their performances in the Dota Pro Circuit. Six teams qualify through the regional qualifiers – with one coming from the following regions: North America, South America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, China and Southeast Asia. Finally, two teams qualify through the last chance qualifier.

The group stage is divided into two with 10 teams in each group and the top four sides in each group will advance to the upper bracket of the main event. Teams from five to eight will end up in the lower bracket, while the rest are eliminated. The main event is a double elimination bracket involving 16 teams, with eight in the upper bracket and eight in the lower bracket. Following this format, the best team will almost certainly come out on top.

One last chance for PSG.LGD?

It’s never easy to claim who will win Dota 2 TI11, but PSG.LGD are firm Dota 2 TI 11 favorites with Dota 2 TI betting odds of +225 on October 8 from GG.Bet Esports, and those on their tail on the odds table like OG and Team Spirit are quite a way behind.

There’s a reason LGD are so high up on this table – they’ve been in every TI aside for the very first one back in 2011. On the other hand, they’ve never actually been named champions despite coming close during TI8 and TI10, where they came second, and TI2, TI5, and TI9, where they came third.

That shows their level, but being a top competitor doesn’t make you a champion. Tournaments are one-offs and despite showing all the consistency in the world, a little slip in a big moment could be enough to put you off. This is something they haven’t been able to exorcise from their system all these years. This might also be their best chance in a while to win it because Faith_bian will be retiring after this season, which will certainly weaken the team.

Team Spirit have to sustain levels from last season

Champions Team Spirit surprised everyone when they won the previous iteration of this tournament by beating PSG.LGD 3-2 in an absolute thriller. It’s why it’s predicting who will win Dota 2 TI11 is so fascinating. The most impressive thing about their win was the number of hurdles they had to face to win it. They were given a room with no internet and made a disastrous start to the group stages before putting together a memorable run.

They will be hardened by that experience, and no one will take them lightly anymore. However, beatings the odds is one thing but sustaining them is something else altogether. There’s a lot of value in their odds of +600  but two in a row seems to be too big of an ask.

OG match great history with youth

OG have the same odds as Spirit and were the winners of the two iterations before the one that Team Spirit won. They certainly have a history of winning on big occasions, but a lot has changed since then. The team has had to rebuild, and the only thing that remains is the organization’s name. Of course, that creates an expectation but also fills the new members with the belief that they can achieve things.

One of the most exciting aspects of this team is that they’ve gone for youth instead of tried and tested members. They also play with the youthful exuberance that makes them a little hard to predict, having already performed some miraculous comebacks. With odds of +600, there’s a lot of value in them.

They have got the history, but there’s almost none of the baggage that a team like PSG.LGD might have because of how young the team. You could very easily see a big game between LGD and OG, where the pressure of never managing that killer blow comes back to bite them and leads to an excellent OG comeback.

Not many expect OG to come out on top when predicting who will win Dota 2 TI11 but OG and Team Spirit are just as heavy Dota 2 TI 11 favorites as PSG.LGD even if the odds say otherwise.

Team Aster and Entity deserve honorable mentions

The three Dota 2 TI teams covered here are the main contenders, but the likes of Team Aster and Entity also deserve mention. Team Aster, like most Chinese teams, are a highly resilient organization but have never really managed to push themselves into the elite bracket.

They have also been the sort of the side that’s almost there but never quite forces themselves into the top tier. They had a very disappointing season last time and it can only get better from here. They have odds of +900 but this isn’t the best bet. Team Aster will have to do a lot more to consider them in the discussion for who will win Dota 2 TI11.

Entity are in great form heading into this tournament have odds of +900 heading into this. T1 is a completely different ball game to what happens in Europe but you could see them making it to the latter stages this time. That would count as a pretty significant achievement for the team’s own progression.

However, winning it all requires something a little more. They were undoubtedly the top side in the WEU qualifiers but there were a lot of circumstances that helped them become a dominant force like technical issues, server problems, and long waits that affected the other teams. Entity might just force themselves into the conversation of who will win Dota 2 TI11.

In the end, it looks like a three-way tie between LGD, OG and Team Spirit in the Dota 2 TI 2022.

Nikhil Kalro Avatar
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Nikhil Kalro

Nikhil has been writing on esports for several years after first covering competitive video gaming for ESPN. After its explosion into the mainstream, writing extensively on esports betting was the natural next step, including for major esports publications across the world.

View all posts by Nikhil Kalro

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