Bitcoin price is now above $40,000, up more than 20% from the lows set in late January. Despite the recovery, common sentiment across the crypto community, analysts, and more is that the bottom is nowhere near in.  Meanwhile, BTCUSD has began its recent bounce from a seven year secular bull trend line. Could that fact combined how few are expecting a bottom be the best case for why one might already be in? Contrarian Take: Crypto Market Sentiment Would Be Blind To A Bottom In a flash, Bitcoin has risen back above $40,000 – still a far cry below the $100,000 end of year 2021 targets the crypto community, analysts, mathematical models, and more had been projecting.  The current collective expectation from that very same crowd is that the current rally is nothing more than a “bull trap” and a revisit to $30,000 and even lower is all but guaranteed.  Related Reading | Bitcoin Death Cross 2022: What You Need To Know About The Deadly Signal Often when the consensus expects one direction, the market moves in a contrarian manner. With market participants sold on the idea that a downtrend will continue, the current bounce could end up leaving many behind.  Especially when the bounce itself began at a seven year secular bull trend line – and a trend line that put in two bear market bottoms.  A look at the seven year secular bull trend line | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com The Bitcoin Trend Line That Just Won’t Stay Broken The chart above shows what the nearly decade-long trend line looks like. The trend line first began at the 2014-2015 bear market bottom, and was lost only temporarily during that time period. After grinding along it for almost two entire years, Bitcoin price went parabolic and rose from around $2,500 to $20,000 in a matter of months. The top cryptocurrency by market cap spent the entire bear market above the trend line, only touching back down on it in December 2018 to put in the most recent bear market bottom. Much like the 2014-2015 bear market, the line was briefly lost again during the current cycle during the Black Thursday market collapse. Reclaiming the trend line is what caused fireworks in late 2020 and early 2021, and Bitcoin has been ranging since. Only now after an unexpected downtrend back to low $30,000s has the cryptocurrency touched the trend line in question since late 2020. Related Reading | 2022: The Year The Secular Bitcoin Bull Run Could End A bounce is beginning, but very few expect this to be the bottom. But why not? Bitcoin has bottomed more times at this trend line than any other. Back in December 2018, the common theory was that the downtrend would continue and few expected the bottom to be put in when it was. In hindsight, that was indeed the bottom of the last bear market. Could this bottom be another example of one that’s only realized long in hindsight? Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or join the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com

Bitcoin continues to display bullish price momentum as it has managed to reclaim the lows around $40,000. The benchmark crypto has been slowly recovering after a violent downside move which shocked traders and market participants. Related Reading | TA: Bitcoin Topside Bias Vulnerable If It Continues To Struggle Below $38K As of press time, Bitcoin trades at $41,486 with an 8% and 9.8% profit in the last 24-hours and 7-days, respectively. How Do You Do, Fellow Kids? The crypto trading community has been celebrating the recent Bitcoin price action after weeks of downside and sideways movement. When BTC was trending downside and pushing the market lower, crypto traders started joking about taking a joke on the popular food chain restaurant McDonald’s. The food chain took note and replied to the crypto traders via Twitter. Many relevant personalities in the space, including Cameron Winklevoss, and other big accounts commented on the post with messages alluding to a McDonald’s product or about potentially joining the restaurant. how are you doing people who run crypto twitter accounts — McDonald's (@McDonalds) January 24, 2022 Even Giga Bitcoin Bull Michael Saylor, CEO at MicroStrategy, shared memes of him joking about working in the popular food chain restaurant. In another Tweet, Saylor shared a picture of him using an apparel with a McDonald’s slogan “Doin’ whatever it takes”, as seen below. Doin’ whatever it takes since ‘92. #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/93gSyB3L2t — Michael Saylor⚡️ (@saylor) January 6, 2022 Per his Wikipedia page, Saylor and McDonald’s were closely intertwine in 1992, the picture was part of a promo campaign. At that time, MicroStrategy was in a very early stage and Saylor won a $10 million contract to developed applications and study ways to make promotions more effective. Almost 30 years later, the software company founded by Saylor would spearhead a new treasury strategy by adopting the Bitcoin standard. Once MicroStrategy broke the wall and integrated BTC into its balance sheet, Tesla, Block, and others followed. Make It Or Break It? 2022 Could Be Bitcoin Most Important Year Interestingly, Bitcoin recent price action draws the food chain’s emblematic “M”, as seen below. The last time Bitcoin saw its yearly lows around $33,000, McDonald’s made the aforementioned Tweet. The “McDonald’s Pattern” draw on the chart could become legendary if Bitcoin truly hit its final bottom before resuming NewsBTC has presented several different vision on the potential trajectory for BTC’s price going into 2022. While some experts expect the cryptocurrency to struggle, others believe it will manage to surpass the $100,000 threshold. On the bullish side, Senior Commodity Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence Mike McGlone believes BTC will come out on top of a widespread market downtrend due to a hike on interest rates. On a less optimistic note, QCP Capital expect BTC to struggle in 2022 and remain rangebound unable to achieve a new all-time high. Related Reading | Bitcoin Sees Poor Demand As Investors Try to Defend $37K, Is BTC In Trouble? Time will prove them right or wrong, if BTC’s price can decouple from traditional markets, as it has happened for brief periods over the past weeks, the cryptocurrency could attract more institutional attention. In that sense, McGlone and others believe 2022 will be one of BTC’s most important years.

Even though the technical chart indicated heavy bear attacks on Metacoins during the recent correction phase. The fundamental development of the Metaverse ecosystem has significantly upscaled as more renowned companies and industry giants like Meta(previously known as Facebook), Apple, and now Disney entering the metaverse. Furthermore, the Bitcoin price reclaims the $40000 milestone has positively

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Ethereum and Solana especially galloped up on their charts significantly in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin had also reclaimed the $40k price mark at the time of writing therefore major altcoins followed a similar price movement. The massive attack on Wormhole which is an eminent bridge protocol between Solana and Ethereum caused ETH to lose…

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Sometimes a few millimeters can separate us from total failure. In such cases, the tension is maximum, because hope struggles with common sense. However, when fortune wins, we begin to notice prospects and positivity again. A similar situation may happen in the LINK market. In the weekly timeframe, it should be noted that sellers have tested the global trend line of buyers. This trend channel has worked well since April 2019. https://www.tradingview.com/x/4iwfOZm0/ If you look for the perfect point on the chart to buy in the medium term and with minimal risk – this is it. If buyers do not keep the $16 range, we will not expect a positive scenario in the LINK market. In this case, we expect LINK to continue to fall to $10. Though, given the good BTC price growth and the chance of a rebound in the whole cryptocurrency market – so far we delete the scenario of decline as the main one. Therefore, the LINK price increase to $36 is the main scenario in the medium term. Technical Analysis Of LINK On The Daily Timeframe If you look at the LINK situation on the daily timeframe, you can see how trading volumes began to increase in the range of $16. Although sellers managed to update the previous local low, it did not work. Buyers have shown interest in creating a false breakdown of an important range. The first target of the local growth wave is around $25. This mark shows the local trend line of sellers. If you look at the movement of LINK price from 7 to 11 January, you can see how high volumes of buyers failed to pass this range. Thus, while this mark is under the control of buyers – we can not speak confidently about global growth to the mark of $36. The LINKBTC Price Takes Off Rose-Coloured Glasses And Optimism https://www.tradingview.com/x/HuTuRSxv/ Starting in 2020, LINKBTC buyers cannot significantly bounce back from the 0.00042 range. Each time the rebound from this level weakens. If the new growth wave can not break the upper trend line of the triangle – then you should expect another global LINK fall wave by an average of 50-60%. In this case, buy LINKBTC should be from the mark 0.00017. Therefore, the movement of the LINK price in 2022 depends on the formation of the current local growth wave.

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Rafael ‘Ted’ Cruz (R-TX) added more bitcoin to his personal portfolio during the recent price carnage. A new financial disclosure with the U.S. Senate on Feb. 4 shows that the Texas junior senator scooped between $15,000 and $50,000 on January 25. According to the filing, the purchase was executed via high-end bitcoin brokerage River Financial. […]

The Solana price has been on an upswing ever since the bloodbath that followed DeFi’s largest hack of 2022. The Wormhole network stated that stolen money had been restored, giving Solana price some much-needed relief. Related Reading | Solana price recovers from downtrend after $325 million restored on Wormhole network After hours of being lost to what some call the largest DeFi hack, the crypto was restored. Jump Crypto’s currency-focused arm worked in tandem with other Quant trading firms, and together, they were able to restore all funds that hackers had stolen from investors last week. Jump Crypto stated; “we believes in a multichain future and that Wormhole is essential infrastructure. That’s why we replaced 120k ETH to make community members whole and support Wormhole now as it continues to develop.” The firm’s decision to replace 120,000 Ether in support of community members on the Wormhole network revealed that hackers failed to refabricate stolen cryptocurrencies. Yesterday’s exploit compromised $325 million worth of Ether, and the Wormhole network offered a 10-million dollar bounty for information on who did it. Unfortunately, the hacker still has access to these funds, meaning they have rejected the offer. Related Reading | Wormhole Token Bridge Lost $321M In Crypto Heist Solana Price Recovery From Bloodbath The price of Solana dropped nearly 10% after news broke about the Wormhole exploit. The largest DeFi hack on Solana acted as a negative factor for this altcoin, heavily influenced by lousy publicity.  A cryptocurrency analyst and trader widely followed for his accurate price predictions by investors of all sizes across the board, Johny noticed that Solana might be ready to make its next move up. Further, he noted an upward pattern developing within range lows before Ethereum killer could start its leg straight back down again. “$SOL beautiful retest of range lows. Flip range highs and next leg upstarts. Haven’t seen this much strength from Solana in what feels like forever.” Bitcoin’s fall to the $36,250 level triggered a dip for major altcoins. While most coins were red on Thursday, Solana also dipped nearly 10%. The larger market experienced a dip as well due to bitcoin’s movements. What a difference a day makes! Solana dipped more than most of its counterparts in the top ten cryptocurrencies by market cap, but it charted an equally good recovery at press time. After an attack on Wormhole, SOL dipped to as low as $94 on February 3. However, the price saw some recovery and even managed a decent pump before long. The price of Solana is rising once again. As I’m writing these words, the currency had traded at $108 and presented 11.7% daily and 18.75% weekly gains. With trade volumes still maintaining low, some say that the spot markets are still too uncertain about investing in, but a decent price push could change investors’ mood for good. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView.com  

Despite the recent downfall of the crypto market, the projection of Bitcoin (BTC) to cross the $100k threshold remains seen as a matter of time. Back in December, Bloomberg Intelligence indicated that the anticipated mark would happen eventually “due to the economic basics of increasing demand vs. decreasing supply,” and new data shed some light on that idea. Bitcoin Vs. Crude Oil In a new Bloomberg Intelligence report, data shows trends that could favor Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. The report noted that “Representing advancing technology, Bitcoin is gaining traction as a benchmark global digital asset, while oil is being replaced by decarbonization and electrification.” Lack of supply elasticity is an attribute shared by Bitcoin and Ethereum that “sets them apart from commodities”. For commodities, “rising prices thwart demand and increase supply”, but the top cryptocurrencies might tell a different story. “Increasing Bitcoin and Ethereum demand, and adoption vs. diminishing supply, should follow the basic rule of economics and raise prices.” In the following chart, Bloomberg shows a juxtaposition of the decreasing BTC and ETH supply along with the excess of crude oil and liquid-fuel production compared to consumption heading toward 13% in 2023, noting that the U.S. “has been a top headwind for commodity prices”. Related Reading | Why The Bitcoin At $100K Discourse Remains Strong Despite Market Crashes Mainstream Adoption Experts think that BTC “is well on its way to becoming global digital collateral”, while its revolution in the “digitalization of finance” is in its early days. Future mainstream adoption will lead to increased demand for bitcoin. The report predicts that the future developments in the macroeconomics and politics of the U.S. –dollar dominance, jobs, votes, taxes, and the aim to oppose China’s policies and find leverage against them– will lead U.S. policymakers into creating proper regulations for cryptocurrencies and ETFs. Beyond El Salvador adopting BTC as legal tender, the proximity of the U.S. midterm elections has evidenced the American senators and politicians’ race to follow along. In Wyoming, Arizona, and Texas politicians are pushing to turn the digital coin into a legal tender, pointing at Bitcoin as a new defining factor to get well positioned in the polls. A wider acceptance of bitcoin is expected to happen with more regulatory clarity because fear and misinformation could diminish, thus more investors would jump in meaning mainstream adoption. The report also notes that this greater mainstream adoption of Bitcoin is looking unstoppable, which would likely benefit its price. “The launch of U.S. futures-based exchange-traded funds in 2021 appears as a baby step by regulators that we think culminates with ETFs tracking actual cryptos via broad indexes.” Bloomberg data shows that “Rising demand, adoption and depth of Bitcoin should leave few options for volatility but to decline.” For this reason, they think it’s going through a “price-discovery stage”. The following chart shows “the upward trajectory of Bitcoin futures open interest vs. the downward slope in the crypto’s volatility vs. the stock market”, noting that Bitcoin’s 260-day volatility is 3x of the Nasdaq 100, which contrasts its volatility during the launch of futures in 2017, which was closer to 8x. Regarding the Federal Reserve’s tightening measures, Bloomberg experts had previously predicted that “Bitcoin will face initial headwinds if the stock market drops, but to the extent that declining equity prices pressure bond yields and incentivize more central-bank liquidity, the crypto may come out a primary beneficiary.” Related Reading | Bitcoin Leverage Ratio Suggests More Decline May Be Coming

A quant explains why the current high Bitcoin leverage ratio values may mean that more price drop could be coming soon. Current Bitcoin Leverage Ratio Is At High Values As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the current BTC leverage ratio has high values, and if past pattern is anything to go by, a correction may be coming to the price soon. The “estimated leverage ratio” is an indictor that’s defined as the value of the Bitcoin open interest divided by the reserve of all exchanges. In simpler terms, what this metric tells us is the amount of leverage that an average user is making use of at the moment. When the value of this indicator rises, it means investors are taking on more risk as they are increasing the leverage on their positions. During such a trend, the volatility in the price of BTC may also go up. At sufficiently high values of the ratio, the market may be considered overleveraged, and a liquidation squeeze could follow to wipe out the excess leverage. Related Reading | Market Re-Enters Extreme Fear Territory As Bitcoin Declines To $36k In a liquidation squeeze, a big swing in the price causes a cascade of futures liquidations that amplify the price move further. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin leverage ratio over the past year: Looks like the value of the indicator has been high recently | Source: CryptoQuant In the above graph, the quant has highlighted the different regions where the Bitcoin leverage ratio sharply dropped. Along with that, the direction of the price following these liquidation squeezes is also marked. Yellow indicates a long squeeze. During such an event, the price of the crypto declines along with the indicator. Similarly, green marks a short squeeze where the price moves oppositely to the ratio. Related Reading | Bitcoin On-Chain Demands Suggests That The Market Has Reached Its Bottom In the period of the chart, most of the liquidation incidents have involved longs. As you can see in the above graph, the ratio has now once again risen to quite high values. The quant thus believes that we may see another similar yellow region soon as the probability of it has been higher during such bearish market conditions as now. However, the pattern of another indicator, the Bitcoin volatility index, rather suggests that a short squeeze may be coming next. In such an outcome, the price of the coin will be bullish. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $37.9k, up 4% in the last seven days. The below chart shows the trend in the price of the crypto over the past five days. BTC's price has once again surged to around $38k | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

Largest decentralized exchange on Polygon, QuickSwap recently announced a cooperation With CelsiusX. The DeFi arm of Celsius, the decentralized financial services network founded by Alex Mashinsky, the partners are set to bring more liquidity and create yield opportunities for users on the sector. Related Reading | Celsius CEO: “Elon Is A Tourist In Crypto” The partnership also aids to onboard more users, from retail investors to institutions, into DeFi. In order to achieve this objective, CelsiuX will offer 2 popular cryptocurrencies, Cardano (ADA) and Dogecoin (DOGE), with a low presence on Polygon and will provide more liquidity for Ethereum (ETH). These cryptocurrencies will be available on QuickSwap as synthetic versions called cxADA, cxDOGE, cxETH. Per an official post, these tokens have low to non-existent liquidity for traders on Polygon. The partnership will seek to meet such a demand. Dogecoin (DOGE) has seen a massive rally from its lows below $0.010 in 2021 to an all-time high above $0.70. The cryptocurrency has been promoted by heavily influential personalities in business, such as Elon Musk and Mark Cuban, and it’s a symbol of the “GameStop Movement”. In the meantime, Cardano rose on the back of its large community and their bet that the network will become an Ethereum killer project one its DeFi ecosystem matures. Cardano introduced DeFi capabilities back in 2021 after successfully completing tree Hard Fork Combinator events. Both ADA and DOGE have some of the most active and engaging communities in the crypto space. The collaboration between QuickSwap and CelsiuX will give these users a new venue to trade their favorite tokens. The team behind QuickSwap exclusively told NewsBTC the following on their collaboration with CelsiusX: CelsiusX is bringing 3 assets (cxDOGE, cxETH, and cxADA) that currently have little to no utility or use on Polygon over and each of their respective communities with them. The team will be seeding the liquidity for 3 trading pairs, $10 million in liquidity for each pair. In addition to added liquidity, we expect to see a major increase in volume. QuickSwap And CelsiusX, A Partnership For The Future Of DeFi The collaboration will be comprised of three core elements: liquidity, incentives, and utility. The first will facilitate trading for institutions, users, and other market participants following QuickSwap’s vision of providing liquidity for “any token”. On the second item, the DEX and CelsiusX will offer users more incentives to trade the synthetic versions of these tokens. Liquidity providers and traders will receive rewards by operating on cxDOGE and cxADA. Finally, the partners will provide DOGE and ADA holders will more utility opportunities on Polygon by adding it to a larger DeFi and multi-chain ecosystem. On their official announcement, CelsiusX added the following on their cooperation with QuickSwap, which they called “just the tip of the iceberg” in their attempts to merge CeFi and DeFi: As token interoperability increases and additional non-ERC20 (non-Ethereum compatible) crypto tokens look to migrate over to the Polygon ecosystem, CelsiusX + Polygon can repeat the playbook to create liquidity and use cases for any token. As of press time, the DEX’s native token QUICK trades at $190 with a 5.1% profit in 24 hours and 8.6% profit in one week. The token has seen a positive impact from their partnership with CelsiusX and could continue to score more profits on the back of improvements to its interface and reward mechanism. Data from Material Indicators shows that there are some significant bids set below QUICK’s current levels. These could operate as critical support in case of further downside with $185 as it most important level. Related Reading | Celsius Crosses New Company-High In BTC Assets To the upside, there is low resistance until $205 which suggest bulls could have a shot of reclaiming previous highs.

The ATOM/USDT pair registers a 13% gain from the $25.5 support in the last two days. The coin price rebounded with a long bullish candle, engulfed the last four days of trading activity. The buyers have managed to breach a descending trendline, which should kickstart a recovery rally Key technical points:  The ATOM price shows

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The British pound is slightly lower in Friday trading. It has been an excellent week for GBP/USD, which has gained 1.26%. If the pound can maintain these gains during the day, it will mark the currency’s best weekly showing since December 2020. BoE raises rates by 0.25% As was widely predicted, the BoE raised rates […]