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A quant explains why the current high Bitcoin leverage ratio values may mean that more price drop could be coming soon. Current Bitcoin Leverage Ratio Is At High Values As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the current BTC leverage ratio has high values, and if past pattern is anything to go by, a correction may be coming to the price soon. The “estimated leverage ratio” is an indictor that’s defined as the value of the Bitcoin open interest divided by the reserve of all exchanges. In simpler terms, what this metric tells us is the amount of leverage that an average user is making use of at the moment. When the value of this indicator rises, it means investors are taking on more risk as they are increasing the leverage on their positions. During such a trend, the volatility in the price of BTC may also go up. At sufficiently high values of the ratio, the market may be considered overleveraged, and a liquidation squeeze could follow to wipe out the excess leverage. Related Reading | Market Re-Enters Extreme Fear Territory As Bitcoin Declines To $36k In a liquidation squeeze, a big swing in the price causes a cascade of futures liquidations that amplify the price move further. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin leverage ratio over the past year: Looks like the value of the indicator has been high recently | Source: CryptoQuant In the above graph, the quant has highlighted the different regions where the Bitcoin leverage ratio sharply dropped. Along with that, the direction of the price following these liquidation squeezes is also marked. Yellow indicates a long squeeze. During such an event, the price of the crypto declines along with the indicator. Similarly, green marks a short squeeze where the price moves oppositely to the ratio. Related Reading | Bitcoin On-Chain Demands Suggests That The Market Has Reached Its Bottom In the period of the chart, most of the liquidation incidents have involved longs. As you can see in the above graph, the ratio has now once again risen to quite high values. The quant thus believes that we may see another similar yellow region soon as the probability of it has been higher during such bearish market conditions as now. However, the pattern of another indicator, the Bitcoin volatility index, rather suggests that a short squeeze may be coming next. In such an outcome, the price of the coin will be bullish. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $37.9k, up 4% in the last seven days. The below chart shows the trend in the price of the crypto over the past five days. BTC's price has once again surged to around $38k | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

The current Bitcoin volatility Index values suggest that a short squeeze may be near, if past pattern continues to hold. Past Bitcoin Volatility Index Pattern Suggests A Short Squeeze May Happen Here As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the BTC volatility index has now reached values where a short squeeze has happened in the past. The “volatility index” is an indicator that shows how much the price of Bitcoin has fluctuated in a day compared to its historical average. When the value of this metric rises, it means the crypto’s price has recently seen higher volatility as its price has deviated more from its average. On the other hand, low values suggest Bitcoin has been relatively stable lately as the price hasn’t seen any large movements. Volatility is often high following a liquidation event. These “liquidation squeezes” happen when the market is overleveraged, and so any big swings in the price lead to mass liquidations of futures positions. Related Reading | Bitcoin Bearish Signal: Binance Observes Massive Inflow Of 10k BTC The price usually crashes during a long liquidation squeeze due to a cascading effect by these liquidations. On the contrary, the price may instead jump up during a short squeeze. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin volatility over the past six months: The index's value seems to have risen and subsequently fallen recently | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the indicator’s value shot up recently following a long squeeze, but has now come back down. At the moment, the Bitcoin liquidation index seems to have values of around 19.12. In the chart, the quant has highlighted past portions that are relevant to this current trend. It looks like shortly following such a formation, the price has made a strong move up with a short squeeze. Related Reading | ‘Bitcoin Rush’: Small-Time Solo Miners Strike Gold With Full BTC Blocks The analyst thus thinks that the coin may follow this pattern now as well, and its price may go back to $46k to $47k. However, the quant believes that such a move will only be short term relief, and Bitcoin will resume the downtrend soon after. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $36.2k, down 5% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has lost 28% in value. The below chart shows the trend in the price of BTC over the last five days. BTC's price seems to have moved sideways in the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView A few days back, the price of Bitcoin jumped back to $38k, but the recovery didn’t last long and the crypto fell down to $36k. Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com