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Bitcoin is a Demographic Mega-Trend: Data Analysis

Reading Time: 6 minutes What follows is data and analysis from a survey of American adults regarding general sentiment toward Bitcoin — the survey was conducted online by The Harris Poll, on behalf of Blockchain Capital, from April 23–25, 2019 among 2,029 American adults. The survey was an augmented version of one we ran in October 2017 (we added […]

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What follows is data and analysis from a survey of American adults regarding general sentiment toward Bitcoin — the survey was conducted online by The Harris Poll, on behalf of Blockchain Capital, from April 23–25, 2019 among 2,029 American adults. The survey was an augmented version of one we ran in October 2017 (we added a few questions). Methodology can be found at the bottom of this post.

For context and because it’s material in considering the results, the survey in October 2017 was conducted in a bull market — Bitcoin was up over 800% YoY — whereas the most recent survey, in April 2019, was conducted in a bear market — price was down roughly 75% from all-time highs.

We suspect that the difference in market environment between the two surveys would have a negative impact on Bitcoin sentiment in the most recent survey. Despite the bear market, the data shows that Bitcoin awareness, familiarity, perception, conviction, propensity to purchase and ownership all increased/improved significantly — dramatically in many cases.

The results highlight that Bitcoin is a demographic mega-trend led by younger age groups. The only area where older demographics matched younger demographics was awareness: Regardless of age, the vast majority of the American population has heard of Bitcoin.

Awareness

The percentage of people that have heard of Bitcoin rose from 77% in October 2017 to 89% in April 2019.

Awareness of Bitcoin is strong across all age groups — those aged 18–34 have the highest rates of awareness at 90% and those aged 65+ have the lowest at 88%.

Overall, the percentage of people that have not heard of Bitcoin fell by more than half — from 23% in October 2017 to 11% in April 2019.

Familiarity

The percentage of people that are ‘at least somewhat familiar’ with Bitcoin rose by nearly half — from 30% in October 2017 to 43% in April 2019.

Among those aged 18–34, a full 60% described themselves as at least ‘somewhat familiar’ with Bitcoin — up from 42% in October 2017. Relative to older segments of the population, those aged 18–34 are 3x as likely to be at least ‘somewhat familiar’ with Bitcoin as those aged 65 and over.

The natural follow-on question is how perception is affected by rising awareness — as people become more familiar with Bitcoin do they think of it more positively or negatively?

Perception

The percentage of people whom ‘strongly’ or ‘somewhat’ agrees that ‘Bitcoin is a positive innovation in financial technology’ rose 9 percentage points — from 34% in October 2017 to 43% in April 2019.

Younger demographics were most inclined to have a positive view of Bitcoin: 59% of those aged 18–34 ‘strongly’ or ‘somewhat’ agree that Bitcoin is a positive innovation in financial technology — up 11 percentage points from October 2017.

But even if an increasing percentage of the population has a positive perception of Bitcoin, does that translate to increased conviction in future adoption?

Conviction

The percentage of people that ‘strongly’ or ‘somewhat’ agrees that ‘most people will be using Bitcoin in the next 10 years’ rose 5 percentage points — from 28% in October 2017 to 33% in April 2019.

Younger demographics have the most conviction in adoption over the next 10 years: Nearly half (48%) of those aged 18–34 ‘strongly’ or ‘somewhat’ agree that ‘it’s likely most people will be using Bitcoin in the next 10 years’ — up 6 percentage points from October 2017.

Propensity to Purchase

Despite the bear market, the percentage of people that indicated they are ‘very’ or ‘somewhat’ likely to buy Bitcoin in the next 5 years rose by nearly half — from 19% in October 2017 to 27% in April 2019.

Younger demographics appear most inclined to purchase Bitcoin: 42% of those aged 18–34 said they are ‘very’ or ‘somewhat’ likely to purchase Bitcoin in the next 5 years — up 10 percentage points from 32% in October 2017.

It’s also helpful to consider how people think about Bitcoin relative to other investable assets.

When asked which they’d prefer to own $1k of:

21% of people said they would prefer Bitcoin to government bonds — up from 18% in October 2017

17% of people said they would prefer Bitcoin to stocks — up from 14% in October 2017

14% of people said they would prefer Bitcoin to real estate — up from 12% in October 2017

12% of people said they would prefer Bitcoin to gold — up from 8% in October 2017

Focusing on those aged 18–34, when asked which they’d prefer to own $1,000 of:

30% said they would prefer Bitcoin to government bonds — flat from October 2017

27% said they would prefer Bitcoin to stocks — flat from October 2017

24% said they would prefer Bitcoin to real estate — up from 22% in October 2017

22% said they would prefer Bitcoin to gold — up from 19% in October 2017

Said differently, among those aged 18–34: Nearly 1 in 3 prefers Bitcoin to government bonds, more than 1 in 4 prefers Bitcoin to stocks, nearly 1 in 4 prefers Bitcoin to real estate and more than 1 in 5 prefers Bitcoin to gold.

The biggest increase in preference rate for Bitcoin was relative to gold — perhaps the byproduct of Bitcoin’s growing acceptance as ‘digital gold’.

Ownership

In total, 9% of the population owns Bitcoin — including 18% of those aged 18–34 and 12% of those aged 35–44.

*Correction: a previous version overstated adoption because it only included responses from survey participants that had “at least heard of any crypto-asset”. For context, the previous (incorrect) figures were: Total (11%), 18–34 (20%), 35–44 (15%), 45–54 (5%), 55–64 (5%), 65+ (2%). My sincere apologies for any confusion this may have caused.*

To help put the millennial proclivity to Bitcoin in perspective: Only 37% of people under 35 are invested in the stock market (source) — so the data point that 18% of those in the same group own Bitcoin is particularly surprising.

Ultimately, Bitcoin is a demographic mega-trend: Younger demographics are leading in terms of Bitcoin awareness, familiarity, perception, conviction, propensity to purchase, and ownership rates.


Survey Methodology:

This survey was conducted online within the United States between April 23–25, 2019 among 2029 adults (aged 18 and over) by The Harris Poll on behalf of Blockchain Capital via its Harris On Demand omnibus product. Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, the words “margin of error” are avoided as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.

Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in our surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the online panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.


Blockchain Capital, founded in 2013, is one of the oldest and most active venture investors in the blockchain industry and has financed 75+ companies and projects since its inception. Our mission is to help entrepreneurs build world-class companies and projects based on blockchain technology. We invest in both equity and tokens and are a multi-stage investor. Blockchain Capital also pioneered the world’s first ever tokenized investment fund and the blockchain industry’s very first security token, the BCAP, in April of 2017.

Sign-up for our monthly newsletter at the bottom of this site: http://www.blockchaincapital.com/

Thanks to Derek Huse.

Source: https://blockchain.capital/bitcoin-is-a-demographic-mega-trend-data-analysis/

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Crypto Markets Shed $10 Billion in Hours as Bitcoin Loses $400 (Market Watch)

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After a sharp price jump towards $13,650 intraday, Bitcoin has retraced and trades around $13,200. The alternative coins continue to bleed out, and the total market capitalization has dropped below $390 billion.

Bitcoin To $13,650 And Back On ECB Stimulus News

Following the latest 2020 high, Bitcoin got rejected and lost nearly $1,000 of value in hours a few days ago. Since then, the asset has been struggling with the $13,000 level.

After another dip below it, BTC went on a roll yesterday. This resulted in a daily high of almost $13,700 (on Bitstamp). Interestingly, the impressive price increase came shortly after the European Central Bank said that it could seek a new stimulus package in December.

“The Governing Council will recalibrate its instruments, as appropriate, to respond to the unfolding situation and to ensure that financing conditions remain favorable to support the economic recovery and counteract the negative impact on the pandemic on the projected inflation path.”

More impactful news came from the US. The jobless claims fell to a 7-month low – a level not registered since before the COVID-19 outbreak.

Wall Street also felt the positive effects. The three most prominent US stock indexes closed Thursday’s trading session in the green. However, the futures contracts have dropped after hours.

Bitcoin has mimicked the stocks’ performance, but being a 24/7- traded asset, it started dropping shortly after Wall Street closed doors. BTC has lost about $450 and currently sits around $13,200.

BTCUSD. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD. Source: TradingView

Blood On The Altcoins Street

The situation within the alternative coin market is unfavorable, to say the least. As the graph below demonstrates, all alternative coins are in the red on a 24-hour scale.

Ethereum struggles with $380 after a 2.4% drop. Ripple’s near 4% decline has taken XRP beneath $0.24. Bitcoin Cash (-2.2%), Binance Coin (-7%), Chainlink (-6%), Polkadot (-9%), Cardano (-9%) have all lost significant chunks of value from the top ten coins.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: Quantify Crypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: Quantify Crypto

Further losses come from the lower and mid-cap altcoins. Reserve Rights has dropped by 20%, Yearn.Finance by 17.5%, and Synthetix Network Token by (-17%).

Other double-digit price declines are evident from Ampleforth (-16.7%), ABBC Coin (-16.7%), Ocean Protocol (-16.5%), Compound (-14.5%), Band Protocol (-14%), Algorand (-13%), Ren (-13%), and more.

The total market capitalization has seen $10 billion evaporate in a day and $20 billion in two days.

Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization. Source: CoinMarketCap
Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization. Source: CoinMarketCap
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/crypto-markets-shed-10-billion-in-hours-as-bitcoin-loses-400-market-watch/

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After Buying 38,250 Bitcoins, MicroStrategy Has Become A Full Node On The BTC Network

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After purchasing a sizeable amount of bitcoins for himself and his company, Michael Saylor said that the firm he operates, MicroStrategy, has been running a full node of Bitcoin’s latest core version for over a month.

MicroStrategy Runs A Full BTC Node

Bitcoin nodes are an essential part of the Bitcoin blockchain peer-to-peer network. Running a full node means validating transactions and blocks. Almost all nodes also help the network by accepting transactions and blocks from other nodes to validate and relay them.

There’re certain requirements necessary to run a full node, such as robust hardware, reliable and fast internet connection, and the ability to leave the device running for hours without interrupting the connection.

The decentralized nature of the Bitcoin network requires as many volunteers as possible. Otherwise, the consequences could lead to slow transactions, inability to connect through the P2P network, and relying on centralized services.

Anyone fitting the requirements can join the network and become a Bitcoin Core node. According to Michael Saylor, the company he founded over three decades ago has done precisely that.

In a recent tweet, he said that MicroStrategy is “thrilled to do our part to support the growth of the Bitcoin network,” after running a full node for over a month of Bitcoin Core’s latest version – 0.20.1.

Pro-Bitcoin All the Way

The Nasdaq-listed company announced buying its first batch of bitcoins in August, followed by another massive purchase just a month later. In total, the firm acquired 38,250 bitcoins for about $425 million at the time. This represents about 0.18% of all bitcoins ever to exist.

MicroStrategy doubled-down on its belief in Bitcoin recently by instituting a new treasury reserve policy. It reads that “Bitcoin will be the primary treasury reserve asset.” Additionally, the firm said it will purchase even more BTC with the excess cash it generates.

The company’s CEO has been particularly supportive of the asset in the past several months. Earlier this week, Saylor disclosed that he’s a Bitcoin HODLer as well. His personal portfolio consists of 17,731 bitcoins (worth about $235 million).

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/after-buying-38250-bitcoins-microstrategy-has-become-a-full-node-on-the-btc-network/

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Crypto Price Analysis & Overview October 30th: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Chainlink, and Binance Coin

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Bitcoin

The Bitcoin price surge continued this week and it managed to increase by 4.5% to reach $13,60 at the time of this writing. The coin was trading slightly above $13,000 last Friday and moved sideways along this level over the weekend.

On Tuesday, Bitcoin started to surge higher as broke resistance at $13,415, climbed above $13,500, and reached the resistance at $13,815 (1.272 Fib Extension). The bulls could not close a daily candle above this resistance, which led to Bitcoin dropping as low as $13,000 on Wednesday.

Since then, Bitcoin has traded sideways in a wide range between $13,815 and $13,000.

Looking ahead, if the buyers push higher again, the first level of resistance lies at $13,500. Following this, resistance lies at $13,815, $14,000, $14,190, and $14,500 (1.618 Fib Extension).

On the other side, if the sellers push lower, the first level of strong support lies at $13,000 (.236 Fib Retracement). Added support then lies at $12,750, $12,500 (.382 FIb Retracement), $12,236 (downside 1.618 Fib Extension), $12,100 (.5 Fib), and $12,000.

btcusd_chart
BTC/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Ethereum

Ethereum saw a sharp 8.3% price drop this week as it falls into the $380 support (.5 Fib Retracement). Last Friday, Ethereum struggled to break above the resistance at $416 – provided by a bearish .618 Fib Retracement. It rolled over from here and started to head lower during the week as it fell beneath $400.

Initially, Ethereum managed to find support at $389 (.382 Fib Retracement). However, the sellers broke past this support today as it plummeted into the $377 level (.5 Fib Retracement).

Moving forward, if the sellers break beneath $377, the first level of support lies at $364 (2019 High). Beneath this, support lies at $355 (100-days EMA), $350, and $342.

On the other side, if the buyers can rebound from $377, resistance lies at $390, $400, $410, and $416.

ethusd-oct30
ETH/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Against Bitcoin, Ethereum has struggled heavily this week as it hits as low as 0.0284 BTC(Feb 2020 Highs). The coin was trading above 0.031 BTC at the start of the week as it was trading at the 100-days EMA resistance. From there, ETH headed lower as it collapsed beneath both 0.031 BTC and 0.030 BTC in a couple of days.

The coin continued to plummet over the last few days as it dropped beneath the 200-days EMA and 0.029 BTC to reach the current support at 0.0284 BTC.

Looking ahead, if the selling continues to break 0.0284 BTC, support lies at 0.0281 BTC, 0.0278 BTC, and 0.027 BTC.

On the other side, resistance is first expected at 0.029 BTC. This is followed by resistance at the 200-days EMA, 0.03 BTC, and 0.0305 BTC.

ethbtc-oct30
ETH/BTC Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Ripple

Ripple also saw quite a sharp 7.8% price fall this week as the coin drops beneath the 200-days EMA into the $0.237 level. Last Friday, XRP was trying to overcome resistance at a falling trend line but could not do so. As a result, the coin headed lower throughout the week and broke beneath the 100-days EMA yesterday.

Today, XRP continued lower to break beneath a rising trend line (the lower boundary of a triangle) to drop beneath the 200-days EMA and hit the current $0.237 support. XRP spiked as low as $0.23 today, but the buyers have since pushed the price higher.

Moving forward, if the selling continues beneath $0.237, support initially lies at $0.23. This is followed by support at $0.228 (.618 Fib), $0.22, and $0.217.

On the other side, the first level of resistance lies at $0.24. Added resistance lies at $0.245 (100-days EMA), $0.251 (bearish .382 Fib), and $0.261 (bearish .5 Fib).

xrpusd-oct30
XRP/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

XRP is currently in a terrible downward spiral against BTC and reached lows that have not been since December 2017 this week. It was trying to reclaim the resistance at 2000 SAT last Friday but failed to do so and proceeded to plummet over the weekend.

The price collapse continued throughout the week as XRP reached as low as 1755 SAT today. The buyers have since pushed it higher slightly to trade near 1780 SAT, but the situation is extremely bearish.

Looking ahead, it is likely that the selling will continue. If the sellers push beneath 1755 SAT, additional support is found at 1730 SAT, 1700 SAT, 1680 SAT, 1650 SAT, and 1600 SAT.

On the other side, resistance lies at 1800 SAT, 1865 SAT, and 1900 SAT.

xrpbtc-oct30
XRP/BTC Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Chainlink

LINK saw an 8.6% price fall over the past week as it approaches the lower boundary of an ascending price channel. The coin was trading at the upper boundary of this price channel at the start of the week but was unable to break above it. A bearish .5 Fib Retracement further bolsters the upper boundary at $12.75.

As a result, LINK rolled over and started to head lower throughout the week as it broke back beneath $11.50 to reach the current $10.95 level.

Looking ahead, if the bears push LINK lower, the first level of support lies at $10.50 – the lower boundary of the price channel. If the sellers break beneath the channel, support lies at $10, $9.80, $9.00, and $8.77.

On the other side, if the buyers can rebound at the lower boundary, resistance lies at $11.50, $12, and $12.75 (bearish .5 Fib Retracement).

linkusd-oct30
LINK/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Against Bitcoin, LINK has also been falling this week. It was trading near 100,000 SAT last Friday but started to head lower from here. It dropped beneath 90,000 SAT throughout the week and fell beneath a rising trend line yesterday to hit 80,777 SAT today.

Moving forward, if the sellers break beneath 80,777 SAT the first level of support lies at 80,000 SAT. Beneath this, support is found at 75,600 SAT (downside 1.414 Fib Extension), 70,000 SAT, 68,400 SAT, and 60,000 SAT (.786 Fib Retracement).

On the other side, resistance lies at 86,800 SAT. Above this, resistance is expected at 90,000 SAT, 94,300 SAT, and 100,000 SAT (bearish .382 Fib Retracement).

linkbtc-oct30
LINK/BTC Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Binance Coin

BNB also suffered a 7.6% price fall this week as it drops into the $28.17 support (.382 Fib Retracement). BNB managed to climb above $32 on Tuesday, but the sellers quickly stepped in to push the coin lower.

Today, BNB fell sharply beneath $30 and continued to fall until support was found at $27.54 (downside 1.272 Fib Extension). It has rebounded from here and is now trading at $28.17 (.382 Fib).

Looking ahead, if the bulls can continue to rebound from the current support, the first level of resistance lies at $29.30. This is followed by resistance at $30, $30.72, $31.30, and $32.

On the other side, if the sellers push beneath $28.17, support lies at $27.55, $27 (.5 Fib), $26.34 (fownside 1.618 Fib Extension), and $25.84 (.618 Fib).

bnbusd-oct30
BNB/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Against Bitcoin, BNB created a fresh October low today at the 0.00207 BTC level (downside 1.272 Fib Extension). The coin was trading at around 0.00236 BTC last Friday, and it pushed higher on Monday and Tuesday to reach as high as 0.00242 BTC. It was unable to break this resistance, which caused the coin to roll over and head lower.

Today, BNB dropped beneath the support at 0.0222 BTC (.618 Fib), and it dropped lower to reach the support at 0.00212 BTC – where it is currently trading.

Moving forward, if the sellers continue to push lower, the first level of support lies at 0.00206 BTC (downside 1.272 Fib Extension). Following this, support is found at 0.002 BTC (.786 Fib), 0.00194 BTC, and 0.0019 BTC.

Resistance is expected at 0.0022 BTC, 0.0023 BTC, and 0.00235 BTC.

bnbbtc-oct30
BNB/BTC Daily Chart. Source: TradingView
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.


Source: https://cryptopotato.com/crypto-price-analysis-overview-october-30th-bitcoin-ethereum-ripple-chainlink-and-binance-coin/

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